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Llandrindod vs Newport Civil Service

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llandrindod play Newport Civil Service in the FA Cup 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Llandrindod averaged 1.46 goals scored and 2.15 conceded. Newport Civil Service averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Llandrindod won 1, Newport Civil Service won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2013 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Llandrindod and 1.98 for Newport Civil Service. This points to a Llandrindod double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Llandrindod
15%
Draws
39%
Newport Civil Service
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llandrindod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Llandrindod picked up more points recently compared to Newport Civil Service.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.98 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Llandrindod Clean Sheet 10%
Newport Civil Service Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llandrindod Newport Civil Service
Matches Played 13 7
Wins 5 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.46 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2013 FA Cup
Llandrindod vs Newport Civil Service
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llandrindod 43 / 100
Newport Civil Service 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llandrindod Newport Civil Service

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Llandrindod or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Llandrindod attacking → ← attacking Newport Civil Service

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llandrindod scored in 62% of their last 13 games.

Newport Civil Service let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Llandrindod went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Newport Civil Service lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 9
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.57
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.86