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Llanelli vs Afan Lido - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llanelli host Afan Lido in the Cymru South. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Llanelli at 0.62 goals for, 2.69 against; Afan Lido at 1.32 for, 1.94 against. Head-to-head, Llanelli have won 4 to Afan Lido's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.69, favoring Afan Lido. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Llanelli
20%
Draws
80%
Afan Lido
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Afan Lido carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Afan Lido taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Llanelli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 13%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanelli Afan Lido
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.62 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2025 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Afan Lido
1:1
Jan 10, 2025 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Llanelli
0:1
Jan 5, 2024 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Afan Lido
3:2
Nov 17, 2023 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Llanelli
0:3
Mar 3, 2023 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Llanelli
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanelli 22 / 100
Afan Lido 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanelli Afan Lido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afan Lido Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Afan Lido conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Llanelli found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Afan Lido lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanelli VS Afan Lido
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanelli

(Home)
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
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Afan Lido

(Away)
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 9 6 1 2 23:16 19
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
10 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
11 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
12 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
14 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
15 Llantwit Major 8 2 1 5 7:20 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)