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Llanelli vs Cardiff Metropolitan University

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Stebonheath Park, Llanelli
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Walsh L. In: Kabongo D.
Out: Walsh L.
34'
Cronin S.
36' Event
Raison T.

AI Match Summary

Cardiff Metropolitan University in this Cymru Premier 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardiff Metropolitan University.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Llanelli
6%
Draws
90%
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cardiff Metropolitan University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cardiff Metropolitan University have won more games recently than Llanelli.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff Metropolitan University taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cardiff Metropolitan University here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 16%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanelli Cardiff Metropolitan University
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:2
Feb 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Llanelli
1:1
Dec 5, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Llanelli
2:1
Oct 7, 2025 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:3
Apr 26, 2019 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Llanelli
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare

Top Goalscorer Raison T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mwandwe L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanelli 10 / 100
Cardiff Metropolitan University 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanelli Cardiff Metropolitan University

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cardiff Metropolitan University conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Llanelli's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Llanelli has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Llanelli VS Cardiff Metropolitan University
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanelli

(Home)
18 Apr
Haverfordwest
6 : 0
Llanelli
03 Apr
Llanelli
0 : 5
Bala
28 Mar
Flint Town
1 : 2
Llanelli
20 Mar
Llanelli
1 : 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University
13 Mar
Llanelli
0 : 2
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff Metropolitan University

(Away)
18 Jul
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 0
Brackley
07 Jul
Carmarthen Town
1 : 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University
04 Jul
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 1
Afan Lido
26 Jun
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 0
Pontardawe
18 Apr
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Flint Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Haverfordwest321461248:4348
8Briton Ferry321291146:4745
9Cardiff Metropolitan University328141043:5138
10Flint Town328111348:5935
11Bala32881633:4532
12Llanelli32342517:8213
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)