Sport Picks
Llanelli vs Carmarthen Town Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
9'
9'
Thomas L.
28'
28'
Crisan N.
(Penalty)
34'
34'
Crisan N.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South game between Llanelli and Carmarthen Town finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carmarthen Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Llanelli haven't matched Carmarthen Town's recent run of results.
- Carmarthen Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llanelli | Carmarthen Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 1 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 23 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.59 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.79 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Carmarthen Town
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Llanelli
1:1
Aug 16, 2024 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Carmarthen Town
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Llanelli
0:1
Aug 18, 2023 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Carmarthen Town
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Llanelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Crisan N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Carmarthen Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bevan R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llanelli 10 / 100
Carmarthen Town 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llanelli Carmarthen Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carmarthen Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Carmarthen Town conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Llanelli's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Carmarthen Town's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Llanelli VS Carmarthen Town
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Llanelli
(Home) 02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2 Baglan Dragons
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0 Llanelli
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0 Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2 Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0 Llanelli
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2 Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2 Treowen
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Jul
Llanelli
1 : 4 Newport City
Page 1 of 3
Carmarthen Town
(Away) 02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
08 Aug
Newport City
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
18 Apr
Treowen
4 : 1 Carmarthen Town
28 Mar
Baglan Dragons
0 : 7 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
