Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llanelli vs Flint Town

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Stebonheath Park, Llanelli
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Williams D.
41' Event
Reeves E.
46'
Sub
Abadaki O. In: Hughes B.
Out: Abadaki O.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Llanelli and Flint Town finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flint Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Llanelli
20%
Draws
64%
Flint Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flint Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Flint Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Flint Town have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 14%
Flint Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanelli Flint Town
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 1 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.55 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Llanelli
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Flint Town
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Llanelli
4:0
Sep 6, 2025 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Flint Town
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanelli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Flint Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Reeves E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanelli 35 / 100
Flint Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanelli Flint Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flint Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flint Town has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Flint Town registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Llanelli scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Llanelli VS Flint Town
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanelli

(Home)
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 6

Flint Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1
Flint Town
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0
Flint Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Haverfordwest 32 14 6 12 48:43 48
8 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 45
9 Cardiff Metropolitan University 32 8 14 10 43:51 38
10 Flint Town 32 8 11 13 48:59 35
11 Bala 32 8 8 16 33:45 32
12 Llanelli 32 3 4 25 17:82 13
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)