Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llanera vs Luarca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Rubio C.
23' Event
Romaric J.
36' Event
Romaric J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 game between Llanera and Luarca finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llanera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Llanera
15%
Draws
5%
Luarca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llanera come out ahead of Luarca on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Llanera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Llanera have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Llanera Clean Sheet 68%
Luarca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanera Luarca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 27 6
Draws 2 6
Losses 1 18
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Luarca
5:1
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Llanera
0:5
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Llanera
0:2
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Luarca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanera Compare

Top Goalscorer Romaric J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mendy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Luarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanera 95 / 100
Luarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanera Luarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Llanera scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Luarca has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Llanera has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Llanera VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanera

(Home)
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
10 May
Aviles Stadium
1 : 2
Llanera
03 May
Llanera
4 : 0
Tuilla
25 Apr
Llanera
3 : 0
Real Titanico
19 Apr
Llanes
0 : 1
Llanera
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Luarca

(Away)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)