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Llanera vs Union Club Ceares

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Corgo D.
72' Event
Ebea C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Llanera and Union Club Ceares finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llanera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Llanera
6%
Draws
4%
Union Club Ceares
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Llanera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Club Ceares haven't matched Llanera's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Llanera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Llanera here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Llanera Clean Sheet 68%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanera Union Club Ceares
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 27 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Union Club Ceares
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Llanera
0:0
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Llanera
2:4
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanera vs Union Club Ceares
1:0
Aug 6, 2023 Club Friendly
Llanera vs Union Club Ceares
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanera Compare

Top Goalscorer Corgo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ebea C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Union Club Ceares Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanera 95 / 100
Union Club Ceares 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanera Union Club Ceares

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanera's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Llanera stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Union Club Ceares has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Llanera VS Union Club Ceares
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418