Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llaneros vs Once Caldas

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zapata Ramirez J. A.
38'
Gomez P.
45' Event
Rincon K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Llaneros and Once Caldas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Llaneros
15%
Draws
49%
Once Caldas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Once Caldas come out ahead of Llaneros on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 20%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llaneros Once Caldas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Primera A
Llaneros vs Once Caldas
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Once Caldas
2:0
Mar 27, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Llaneros
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llaneros Compare

Top Goalscorer Rincon K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata Ramirez J. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llaneros 31 / 100
Once Caldas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llaneros Once Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llaneros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llaneros found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Once Caldas let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Once Caldas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llaneros VS Once Caldas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Llaneros

(Home)
05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2
America De Cali
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1
Llaneros
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6

Once Caldas

(Away)
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Dep. Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 America De Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Deportes Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Dep. Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 Ind. Medellin 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Aguilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Chico 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)