Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llaneros vs Patriotas

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Copete C.
23' Event
Medranda J.
70' Event
Vasquez J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Llaneros
30%
Draws
19%
Patriotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Llaneros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llaneros lately — more wins on the board than Patriotas.
  • Model gives Llaneros a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Llaneros have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Patriotas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 68%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llaneros Patriotas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Colombia
Llaneros vs Patriotas
3:1
Oct 5, 2023 Primera B
Llaneros vs Patriotas
0:1
Jun 24, 2023 Primera B
Llaneros vs Patriotas
0:0
Jun 18, 2023 Primera B
Patriotas vs Llaneros
1:0
Feb 4, 2023 Primera B
Patriotas vs Llaneros
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llaneros Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Medranda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Copete C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llaneros 95 / 100
Patriotas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llaneros Patriotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Llaneros stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Llaneros scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Patriotas let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Llaneros VS Patriotas
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Llaneros

(Home)
04 Aug
Llaneros
3 : 1
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
31 Jul
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
Llaneros
24 Jul
Llaneros
1 : 0
Dep. Pereira
27 May
Chico
0 : 1
Llaneros
20 May
Llaneros
3 : 1
Patriotas
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Patriotas

(Away)
31 Jul
Real Santander
2 : 2
Patriotas
26 Jul
Patriotas
3 : 1
Inter Palmira
20 May
Llaneros
3 : 1
Patriotas
15 May
Patriotas
2 : 3
Millonarios
11 May
Atletico F.C.
1 : 1
Patriotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Alianza 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Boca Juniors de Cali 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
4 Bucaramanga 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Real Santander 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios 4 3 1 0 14:5 10
2 Llaneros 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chico 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
4 Patriotas 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
5 Atletico F.C. 4 0 1 3 2:16 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Medellin 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Leones 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Cucuta 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
5 Orsomarso 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Pereira 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 Real Cundinamarca 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Aguilas Doradas 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 Jaguares de Cordoba 4 1 1 2 4:3 4
5 Independiente Valle del Cauca 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)