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Llanes vs Lenense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Huerta J.
42' Event
Vina A.
73' Event
Vina A.

AI Match Summary

Llanes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llanes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Llanes
15%
Draws
59%
Lenense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llanes lately — more wins on the board than Lenense.
  • Win probability leans Lenense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Llanes Clean Sheet 10%
Lenense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanes Lenense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.4 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Lenense
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Llanes
2:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Lenense
0:0
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Llanes
2:1
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Lenense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Vina A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Huerta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lenense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanes 26 / 100
Lenense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanes Lenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lenense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lenense has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Llanes's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Llanes stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanes VS Lenense
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanes

(Home)
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Llanes
1 : 4
Covadonga
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
19 Apr
Llanes
0 : 1
Llanera
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Lenense

(Away)
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)