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Llanes vs Ribadesella CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2009/2010 game between Llanes and Ribadesella CF finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Llanes
35%
Draws
47%
Ribadesella CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ribadesella CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Llanes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Llanes Clean Sheet 16%
Ribadesella CF Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanes Ribadesella CF
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 14 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.32 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Ribadesella CF
1:0
Nov 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Ribadesella CF vs Llanes
1:0
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Ribadesella CF
2:2
Sep 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Ribadesella CF vs Llanes
2:2
Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Ribadesella CF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanes 36 / 100
Ribadesella CF 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanes Ribadesella CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ribadesella CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ribadesella CF let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Llanes scored in 75% of their last 40 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Llanes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Llanes VS Ribadesella CF
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanes

(Home)
04 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Condal
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1
Llanes
20 Sept
Llanes
2 : 2
Gijon Industrial
13 Sept
Gijon B
3 : 1
Llanes
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
Page 1 of 8

Ribadesella CF

(Away)
04 Oct
SD Noja
1 : 1
Ribadesella CF
26 Sept
Ribadesella CF
1 : 0
SD Noja
15 May
Ribadesella CF
1 : 3
Nalon CF
08 May
Praviano
0 : 1
Ribadesella CF
01 May
Ribadesella CF
2 : 2
Real Oviedo B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 8 5 73:27 83
2 Marino De Luanco 38 23 11 4 73:36 80
3 Universidad Oviedo 38 23 7 8 81:38 76
4 Llanes 38 21 7 10 68:38 70
5 Langreo 38 18 12 8 60:35 66
6 Ribadesella CF 38 19 8 11 63:44 65
7 Tuilla 38 19 7 12 74:56 64
8 Candas CF 38 15 14 9 49:32 59
9 Real Aviles 38 16 10 12 48:41 58
10 Lealtad 38 16 9 13 51:45 57
11 Navarro 38 10 15 13 49:57 45
12 Condal 38 12 8 18 36:59 44
13 Union Club Ceares 38 12 8 18 39:59 44
14 Cudillero 38 10 10 18 43:64 40
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 9 19 37:65 39
16 Praviano 38 10 8 20 31:52 38
17 Luarca 38 9 9 20 31:53 36
18 SD Colloto 38 10 5 23 34:60 35
19 Covadonga 38 9 6 23 35:61 33
20 Astur 38 6 3 29 31:84 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)