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Llanes vs Union Club Ceares

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Feito A.

AI Match Summary

Union Club Ceares in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Club Ceares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Llanes
11%
Draws
80%
Union Club Ceares
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Union Club Ceares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Union Club Ceares lately — more wins on the board than Llanes.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Union Club Ceares taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Llanes Clean Sheet 16%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanes Union Club Ceares
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Union Club Ceares
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Llanes
1:2
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Llanes
1:0
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Union Club Ceares
1:1
Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Llanes
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Union Club Ceares Compare

Top Goalscorer Feito A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanes 11 / 100
Union Club Ceares 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanes Union Club Ceares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanes's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Union Club Ceares has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Llanes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llanes VS Union Club Ceares
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanes

(Home)
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Llanes
1 : 4
Covadonga
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
19 Apr
Llanes
0 : 1
Llanera
12 Apr
Real Titanico
2 : 0
Llanes
Page 1 of 6

Union Club Ceares

(Away)
10 May
Club Siero
0 : 2
Union Club Ceares
03 May
Union Club Ceares
3 : 0
Navarro
26 Apr
Gijon Industrial
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
18 Apr
Union Club Ceares
3 : 2
Praviano
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)