Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llanfair United vs Penrhyndeudraeth FC

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penrhyndeudraeth FC in this FA Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Llanfair United
33%
Draws
27%
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Llanfair United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Llanfair United have won more games recently than Penrhyndeudraeth FC.
  • Win probability leans Llanfair United's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Llanfair United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Penrhyndeudraeth FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Llanfair United Clean Sheet 10%
Penrhyndeudraeth FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanfair United Penrhyndeudraeth FC
Matches Played 22 6
Wins 4 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2021 FA Cup
Llanfair United vs Penrhyndeudraeth FC
2:3
Oct 4, 2014 FA Cup
Penrhyndeudraeth FC vs Llanfair United
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanfair United 38 / 100
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanfair United Penrhyndeudraeth FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penrhyndeudraeth FC let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Llanfair United scored in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Away concern: Penrhyndeudraeth FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llanfair United VS Penrhyndeudraeth FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanfair United

(Home)
20 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2
Kinmel Bay
17 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2
Llanuwchllyn
14 Aug
Llanfair United
2 : 3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
07 Mar
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Llanfair United
08 Feb
Llanfair United
2 : 3
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 5

Penrhyndeudraeth FC

(Away)
04 Sept
Flint Town
5 : 0
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
14 Aug
Llanfair United
2 : 3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
31 Oct
Guilsfield
3 : 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
03 Oct
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
2 : 0
Queens Park
04 Oct
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
2 : 3
Llanfair United
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Penlan Club0
Ynysygerwn2
TBD-
Cambrian United-
Penybont-
TBD-
Undy3
Chepstow Town0
Llanuwchllyn2
Denbigh4
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Prestatyn-
TBD-
Caersws FC2
Rhostyllen3
Buckley2
Mold Alexandra1
Porthmadog3
Llanberis FC0
Monmouth3
Cwmamman United1
TBD-
Llanelli-
Goytre Utd-
TBD-
Abergavenny Town1
Taffs Well3
Pencoed5
Treharris Athletic0
Llantwit Major4
Risca United0
Llandudno FC4
Llay Welfare2
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
Caerau Ely3
Brecon Corinthians8
Bala-
TBD-
Brymbo3
Llansantffraid Village1
Pontypridd United-
TBD-
Penydarren1
Cwmbran Celtic0
Llanrhaeadr-
TBD-
Saltney Town3
Felinheli1
Penrhyncoch-
TBD-
Aberaeron1
Ynyshir Albions3
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
Porthcawl Town0
Aber Valley2
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
Holyhead1
Rhos Aelwyd0
Newtown-
TBD-
Llanelwy2
Berriew FC7
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Cardiff Airport2
Trethomas Bluebirds3
Conwy Borough-
TBD-
Caergybi1
Cefn Albion4
TNS-
TBD-
Llanfairfechan Town1
Llanrwst United2
Pure Swansea-
TBD-
Caldicot6
Penparcau FC3
Llanidloes Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor City-
Pontymister1
Dinas Powys2
Port Talbot0
Afan Lido6
Llandudno Albion5
Llanerchymedd1
TBD-
Guilsfield-
Ammanford Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Penrhiwceiber Rangers-
Flint Town-
TBD-
Llanfair United2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC3
Briton Ferry-
TBD-
Trefelin8
Fairwater1
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
Rhyl1
Rhydymwyn0
Holywell Town FC2
Gresford3
TBD-
Colwyn Bay-
Bodedern5
Llandyrnog United1
Llangefni0
Ruthin Town1
Pontyclun FC0
Pontardawe3
TBD-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
Barry Town-
TBD-
Garden Village2
Goytre AFC3
1/32-finals
Ynysygerwn1
Cambrian United3
Penybont7
Undy0
Denbigh0
Caernarfon4
Prestatyn6
Rhostyllen0
Buckley3
Porthmadog1
Monmouth3
Llanelli0
Goytre Utd0
Taffs Well3
Pencoed0
Llantwit Major3
Llandudno FC1
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Haverfordwest6
Brecon Corinthians0
Bala17
Brymbo1
Pontypridd United6
Penydarren0
Llanrhaeadr3
Saltney Town5
Penrhyncoch4
Ynyshir Albions1
Aberystwyth9
Aber Valley0
Cefn Druids1
Holyhead0
Newtown6
Berriew FC1
Carmarthen Town2
Trethomas Bluebirds1
Conwy Borough3
Cefn Albion2
TNS6
Llanrwst United0
Pure Swansea6
Caldicot3
Llanidloes Town1
Bangor City4
Dinas Powys2
Afan Lido1
Llandudno Albion3
Guilsfield5
Ammanford Town0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers3
Flint Town5
Penrhyndeudraeth FC0
Briton Ferry0
Trefelin3
Connahs Q.5
Rhyl0
Gresford1
Colwyn Bay2
Bodedern4
Ruthin Town5
Pontardawe0
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Barry Town2
Goytre AFC0
1/16-finals
Cambrian United1
Penybont3
Caernarfon3
Prestatyn0
Buckley2
Monmouth0
Taffs Well2
Llantwit Major1
Airbus UK Broughton FC1
Haverfordwest2
Bala5
Pontypridd United0
Saltney Town2
Penrhyncoch1
Aberystwyth4
Cefn Druids1
Newtown1
Carmarthen Town2
Conwy Borough0
TNS1
Pure Swansea1
Bangor City0
Dinas Powys2
Guilsfield4
Penrhiwceiber Rangers1
Flint Town3
Trefelin0
Connahs Q.4
Colwyn Bay5
Ruthin Town1
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Barry Town0
1/8-finals
Penybont1
Caernarfon0
Buckley0
Taffs Well2
Haverfordwest1
Bala3
Saltney Town0
Aberystwyth1
Carmarthen Town0
TNS1
Pure Swansea1
Guilsfield2
Flint Town0
Connahs Q.2
Colwyn Bay1
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Quarter-finals
Penybont3
Taffs Well2
Bala2
Aberystwyth1
TNS2
Guilsfield0
Connahs Q.0
Colwyn Bay2
Semi-finals
Penybont1
Bala0
TNS1
Colwyn Bay0
Final
Penybont2
TNS3