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Llanidloes Town vs Denbigh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Fleming P.
39' Event
Davies O.
42' Event
Davies O.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2023/2024 game between Llanidloes Town and Denbigh finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denbigh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Llanidloes Town
15%
Draws
85%
Denbigh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denbigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Denbigh come out ahead of Llanidloes Town on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Denbigh's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru North 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Denbigh have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Llanidloes Town Clean Sheet 19%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanidloes Town Denbigh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1.77
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Denbigh
0:7
Oct 7, 2023 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Llanidloes Town
6:2
Dec 13, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Llanidloes Town vs Denbigh
5:2
Aug 23, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Denbigh vs Llanidloes Town
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanidloes Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fleming P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanidloes Town 10 / 100
Denbigh 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanidloes Town Denbigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denbigh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denbigh let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.75 goals per match.

Llanidloes Town found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Denbigh has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Denbigh
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanidloes Town

(Home)
30 Apr
Caersws FC
5 : 0
Llanidloes Town
24 Apr
Holywell Town FC
4 : 0
Llanidloes Town
20 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 4
Bangor 1876
13 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 3
Flint Town
06 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 7
Denbigh
Page 1 of 6

Denbigh

(Away)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holywell Town FC 30 26 3 1 79:17 81
2 Flint Town 30 25 3 2 94:30 78
3 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 23 5 2 84:28 74
4 Mold Alexandra 30 18 1 11 66:50 55
5 Bangor 1876 30 17 2 11 62:55 53
6 Denbigh 30 15 4 11 71:60 49
7 Ruthin Town 30 12 6 12 58:52 42
8 Guilsfield 30 11 7 12 48:46 40
9 Caersws FC 30 10 9 11 60:53 39
10 Gresford 30 10 7 13 47:54 37
11 Buckley 30 10 6 14 54:60 36
12 Llandudno FC 30 10 1 19 59:80 31
13 Prestatyn 30 7 5 18 39:74 23
14 Porthmadog 30 6 4 20 35:66 22
15 Chirk AAA FC 30 3 4 23 32:82 13
16 Llanidloes Town 30 2 3 25 25:106 9
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2024/2025 (Main)