Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llanrhaeadr vs Holyhead

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Morris L.
83' Event
Gibbs J.
90' Event
Morris L.

AI Match Summary

Holyhead in this Cymru North 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Llanrhaeadr
15%
Draws
21%
Holyhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanrhaeadr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Holyhead have won more games recently than Llanrhaeadr.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Holyhead taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Holyhead have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Llanrhaeadr Clean Sheet 20%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanrhaeadr Holyhead
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 3 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.58
Goals Conceded 3 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2021 Cymru North
Llanrhaeadr vs Holyhead
0:3
Oct 16, 2021 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Llanrhaeadr
2:1
Jan 12, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Llanrhaeadr vs Holyhead
0:1
Aug 25, 2018 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Llanrhaeadr
2:3
Nov 30, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Llanrhaeadr vs Holyhead
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanrhaeadr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Morris L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gibbs J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanrhaeadr 20 / 100
Holyhead 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanrhaeadr Holyhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holyhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holyhead let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Holyhead lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Llanrhaeadr's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holyhead
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanrhaeadr

(Home)
18 Oct
Bala
3 : 1
Llanrhaeadr
21 Sept
Carno FC
0 : 4
Llanrhaeadr
23 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
0 : 3
Buckley
18 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
1 : 6
Llanidloes Town
15 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Llanrhaeadr
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Holyhead

(Away)
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3
Bangor 1876
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Airbus UK Broughton FC 28 23 3 2 85:23 72
2 Llandudno FC 28 20 3 5 55:21 63
3 Guilsfield 28 14 10 4 51:24 52
4 Holywell Town FC 28 15 5 8 68:36 50
5 Ruthin Town 28 15 4 9 51:34 49
6 Colwyn Bay 28 15 3 10 60:40 48
7 Holyhead 28 11 8 9 41:34 41
8 Buckley 28 11 7 10 48:48 40
9 Penrhyncoch 28 9 8 11 39:57 35
10 Conwy Borough 28 8 8 12 42:59 32
11 Gresford 28 8 7 13 39:42 31
12 Llanidloes Town 28 7 7 14 44:59 28
13 Prestatyn 28 5 5 18 34:68 20
14 Llangefni 28 3 6 19 19:70 15
15 Llanrhaeadr 28 2 4 22 23:84 10
16 Bangor City 0 0 0 0 0:0 -15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)