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Llanrhaeadr vs Penycae FC

Wales Wales

Cymru Alliance 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Cymru Alliance 2013/2014 game between Llanrhaeadr and Penycae FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penycae FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Llanrhaeadr
15%
Draws
42%
Penycae FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanrhaeadr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Penycae FC's 1.37 goals per match outpaces what Llanrhaeadr have produced (1.03).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Cymru Alliance 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Llanrhaeadr Clean Sheet 10%
Penycae FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanrhaeadr Penycae FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 22 25
Goals Scored 1.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 3 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Llanrhaeadr vs Penycae FC
0:1
Mar 1, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Penycae FC vs Llanrhaeadr
1:2
Feb 16, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Llanrhaeadr vs Penycae FC
1:5
Sep 29, 2012 Cymru Alliance
Penycae FC vs Llanrhaeadr
0:1
Mar 3, 2012 Cymru Alliance
Penycae FC vs Llanrhaeadr
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanrhaeadr 30 / 100
Penycae FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanrhaeadr Penycae FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penycae FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Penycae FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Llanrhaeadr scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanrhaeadr VS Penycae FC
1.13 Goals Scored 2.33
2.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanrhaeadr

(Home)
18 Oct
Bala
3 : 1
Llanrhaeadr
21 Sept
Carno FC
0 : 4
Llanrhaeadr
23 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
0 : 3
Buckley
18 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
1 : 6
Llanidloes Town
15 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Llanrhaeadr
Page 1 of 6

Penycae FC

(Away)
16 Sept
Penycae FC
1 : 4
Rhos Aelwyd
08 Oct
Penycae FC
1 : 4
Guilsfield
17 Sept
Trearddur Bay
1 : 5
Penycae FC
19 Oct
Bangor 1876
4 : 3
Penycae FC
20 Oct
Penycae FC
0 : 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cefn Druids 30 22 7 1 90:20 73
2 Conwy Borough 30 19 6 5 66:35 63
3 Caernarfon 30 18 8 4 79:33 62
4 Caersws FC 30 17 10 3 56:32 61
5 Llandudno FC 30 12 9 9 55:42 45
6 Guilsfield 30 10 12 8 44:41 42
7 Porthmadog 30 12 6 12 55:53 42
8 Flint Town 30 12 5 13 46:53 41
9 Holyhead 30 9 10 11 53:57 37
10 Penycae FC 30 10 4 16 47:64 34
11 Rhayader 30 8 9 13 41:60 33
12 Buckley 30 6 13 11 41:54 31
13 Llanidloes Town 30 8 6 16 44:63 30
14 Rhydymwyn 30 8 4 18 32:64 28
15 Penrhyncoch 30 5 8 17 35:58 23
16 Llanrhaeadr 30 5 1 24 32:87 13
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