Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Gresford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanrug
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Gresford carry the better recent record into this one.
- Llanrug are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Gresford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gresford, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Gresford have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Llanrug Clean Sheet 15%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llanrug | Gresford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 34 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.85 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.95 | 2.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2025 FA Cup
Gresford vs Llanrug
9:0
Oct 8, 2022 FA Cup
Llanrug vs Gresford
0:3
Oct 3, 2009 FA Cup
Gresford vs Llanrug
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llanrug 66 / 100
Gresford 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llanrug Gresford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llanrug Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.67 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Gresford has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Llanrug scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.
Gresford has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Gresford
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Llanrug
(Home) 18 Oct
Gresford
9 : 0 Llanrug
20 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Ruthin Town
08 Oct
Llanrug
0 : 3 Gresford
16 Sept
Llandudno Amateurs
1 : 7 Llanrug
09 Nov
Mold Alexandra
8 : 1 Llanrug
Page 1 of 4
20 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Ruthin Town
08 Oct
Llanrug
0 : 3 Gresford
03 Oct
Llanrug
2 : 3 Caernarfon
08 Dec
Llanrug
0 : 5 West End
12 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Nefyn United
Page 1 of 2
Gresford
(Away) 21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0 Gresford
16 Aug
Gresford
0 : 5 Brickfield Rangers
08 Aug
Caersws FC
1 : 0 Gresford
02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3 Newtown
18 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Gresford
Page 1 of 7
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0 Gresford
08 Aug
Caersws FC
1 : 0 Gresford
18 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Gresford
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1 Gresford
07 Apr
Rhyl
1 : 0 Gresford
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
CKSV 1
Aber Valley 5
TBD -
Barry Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 1
Llanrug 7
Llanidloes Town 0
Gresford 1
Felinheli 2
Glannau 1
Conwy Borough 3
Kinmel Bay 2
Risca United 4
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
Penybont -
Trearddur Bay 1
Penycae FC 5
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Abergavenny Town 2
Treharris Athletic 1
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Afan Lido 0
Hakin United 1
TBD -
Taffs Well -
Llanfair United 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Ammanford Town 0
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cefn Cribwr 1
Newport City 2
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Penydarren 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
TBD -
Pure Swansea -
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Ton Pentre 0
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Mochdre Sports 0
Chirk AAA FC 3
TBD -
TNS -
Llay Welfare 3
Flint Mountain 6
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Pencoed 6
Brecon Corinthians 2
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Treowen 0
Cardiff Corries 6
TBD -
Newtown -
Abermule 2
Hawarden Rangers 3
TBD -
Bala -
Penrhyncoch 1
Caersws FC 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Penparcau FC 1
Rhyl 3
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Chepstow Town 1
Rockspur 0
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Porthmadog 3
Mold Alexandra 4
TBD -
Holyhead -
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Ynysygerwn 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llangefni 1
Llandudno Albion 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Machynlleth 0
Prestatyn 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Llansannan 1
Glantraeth FC 2
TBD -
Cefn Druids -
Canton 5
West End 1
Llanelli 4
Goytre AFC 0
Denbigh 6
Llanrwst United 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Bow Street 6
Bangor 1876 5
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Baglan Dragons 1
Pontardawe 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Pill 4
Caldicot 0
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Talysarn Celts 0
Queens Park 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberfan 2
Porthcawl Town 0
Trefelin 5
Llandrindod 0
1/32-finals
Aber Valley 1
Barry Town 3
Llanrug 0
Gresford 3
Felinheli 1
Conwy Borough 4
Risca United 1
Penybont 5
Penycae FC 1
Guilsfield 4
Abergavenny Town 1
Goytre Utd 2
Hakin United 4
Taffs Well 1
Llanuwchllyn 0
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Llantwit Major 2
Newport City 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Penydarren 2
Pure Swansea 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 2
Haverfordwest 1
Chirk AAA FC 1
TNS 2
Flint Mountain 0
Caernarfon 4
Pencoed 0
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Corries 1
Newtown 8
Hawarden Rangers 1
Bala 6
Caersws FC 0
Flint Town 1
Rhyl 0
Ruthin Town 2
Chepstow Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Holyhead 1
Croesyceiliog FC 0
Briton Ferry 5
Llandudno Albion 0
Buckley 3
Prestatyn 2
Llandudno FC 0
Glantraeth FC 0
Cefn Druids 5
Canton 1
Llanelli 2
Denbigh 1
Connahs Q. 5
Bow Street 1
Colwyn Bay 4
Pontardawe 1
Cambrian United 0
Pill 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Queens Park 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Aberfan 1
Trefelin 5
1/16-finals
Barry Town 0
Gresford 2
Conwy Borough 0
Penybont 3
Guilsfield 6
Goytre Utd 3
Hakin United 1
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Penydarren 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
TNS 2
Caernarfon 1
Aberystwyth 1
Newtown 3
Bala 2
Flint Town 0
Ruthin Town 3
Pontypridd United 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Briton Ferry 4
Buckley 2
Prestatyn 0
Cefn Druids 3
Llanelli 4
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 0
Pontardawe 3
Pill 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Trefelin 1
1/8-finals
Gresford 0
Penybont 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Penydarren 2
TNS 7
Newtown 0
Bala 2
Pontypridd United 1
Briton Ferry 3
Buckley 2
Llanelli 0
Connahs Q. 2
Pontardawe 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Quarter-finals
Penybont 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cwmbran Celtic 1
TNS 3
Bala 2
Briton Ferry 0
Connahs Q. 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Semi-finals
Penybont 0
TNS 2
Bala 3
Connahs Q. 2
Final
TNS 6
Bala 0
