Sport Picks
Llanrug vs Nefyn United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FA Cup 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-3, with Llanrug advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanrug
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Llanrug come out ahead of Nefyn United on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Llanrug have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Llanrug, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Llanrug Clean Sheet 10%
Nefyn United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llanrug | Nefyn United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.85 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.95 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.27 | 1.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Llanrug vs Nefyn United
4:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llanrug 30 / 100
Nefyn United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llanrug Nefyn United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nefyn United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Nefyn United conceded in 100% of 10 recent games.
H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Llanrug scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.
Away concern: Nefyn United has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Llanrug VS Nefyn United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.2
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.8
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Llanrug
(Home) 18 Oct
Gresford
9 : 0 Llanrug
20 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Ruthin Town
08 Oct
Llanrug
0 : 3 Gresford
16 Sept
Llandudno Amateurs
1 : 7 Llanrug
09 Nov
Mold Alexandra
8 : 1 Llanrug
Page 1 of 4
20 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Ruthin Town
08 Oct
Llanrug
0 : 3 Gresford
03 Oct
Llanrug
2 : 3 Caernarfon
08 Dec
Llanrug
0 : 5 West End
12 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Nefyn United
Page 1 of 2
Nefyn United
(Away) 20 Sept
Rhostyllen
5 : 2 Nefyn United
19 Oct
Nefyn United
0 : 2 Bangor City
09 Nov
Nefyn United
1 : 3 Caersws FC
12 Oct
Nefyn United
2 : 1 Penrhyndeudraeth FC
02 Oct
Nefyn United
1 : 3 Caersws FC
Page 1 of 2
20 Sept
Rhostyllen
5 : 2 Nefyn United
12 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Nefyn United
13 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
4 : 3 Nefyn United
05 Nov
Cefn Druids
3 : 1 Nefyn United
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Bala 1
Llanrug 0
Caersws FC 4
Coedpoeth 1
Caerau Ely 1
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangollen 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Cambrian United 0
TNS 2
Haverfordwest 1
Aberystwyth 2
Caldicot 0
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 3
Grange Harlequins 0
Porthmadog 3
Rhydymwyn 1
Rhyl 4
Bridgend Town 2
Pontardawe 2
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Town 0
Bangor City 1
Aberaman 2
Ely Rangers 0
Llanelli 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llangeinor 1
Holyhead 6
1/8-finals
Bala 2
Caersws FC 0
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TNS 6
Aberystwyth 0
Port Talbot 2
Prestatyn 1
Porthmadog 0
Rhyl 7
Pontardawe 0
Bangor City 3
Aberaman 1
Llanelli 4
Holyhead 0
Quarter-finals
Bala 2
Afan Lido 0
TNS 2
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 5
Rhyl 4
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 0
Semi-finals
Bala 0
Port Talbot 1
Prestatyn 0
Bangor City 2
Final
Port Talbot 2
Bangor City 3
