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Llansantffraid Village vs Coedpoeth

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Coedpoeth advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Llansantffraid Village
15%
Draws
0%
Coedpoeth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llansantffraid Village

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Llansantffraid Village carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Llansantffraid Village are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Llansantffraid Village have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coedpoeth, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Llansantffraid Village Clean Sheet 10%
Coedpoeth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llansantffraid Village Coedpoeth
Matches Played 17 14
Wins 8 4
Draws 2 0
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.35 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.94 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.52 2.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Llansantffraid Village vs Coedpoeth
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llansantffraid Village 83 / 100
Coedpoeth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llansantffraid Village Coedpoeth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llansantffraid Village Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Llansantffraid Village scored in 82% of their last 17 outings.

Coedpoeth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 14 matches.

Difficult form: Coedpoeth registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Llansantffraid Village VS Coedpoeth
2.29 Goals Scored 1.75
2.71 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Llansantffraid Village

(Home)
05 Jul
Llay Welfare
2 : 0
Llansantffraid Village
14 Aug
Brymbo
3 : 1
Llansantffraid Village
06 Oct
Holyhead
6 : 2
Llansantffraid Village
03 Oct
Llansantffraid Village
1 : 2
Coedpoeth
12 Sept
Llansantffraid Village
3 : 1
Llay Welfare
Page 1 of 4

Coedpoeth

(Away)
19 Oct
Coedpoeth
0 : 5
Gresford
20 Oct
Coedpoeth
2 : 3
Ruthin Town
01 Oct
Coedpoeth
0 : 8
Holywell Town FC
04 Oct
Coedpoeth
0 : 3
Denbigh
12 Oct
Coedpoeth
2 : 6
Barmouth & Dyffryn United
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bala 1
Llanrug 0
Caersws FC 4
Coedpoeth 1
Caerau Ely 1
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangollen 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Cambrian United 0
TNS 2
Haverfordwest 1
Aberystwyth 2
Caldicot 0
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 3
Grange Harlequins 0
Porthmadog 3
Rhydymwyn 1
Rhyl 4
Bridgend Town 2
Pontardawe 2
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Town 0
Bangor City 1
Aberaman 2
Ely Rangers 0
Llanelli 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llangeinor 1
Holyhead 6
1/8-finals
Bala 2
Caersws FC 0
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TNS 6
Aberystwyth 0
Port Talbot 2
Prestatyn 1
Porthmadog 0
Rhyl 7
Pontardawe 0
Bangor City 3
Aberaman 1
Llanelli 4
Holyhead 0
Quarter-finals
Bala 2
Afan Lido 0
TNS 2
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 5
Rhyl 4
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 0
Semi-finals
Bala 0
Port Talbot 1
Prestatyn 0
Bangor City 2
Final
Port Talbot 2
Bangor City 3