Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llantwit Major vs Abertillery Bluebirds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Williams K.
45' Event
Woodington J.
45' Event
Jones L. R.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2023/2024 game between Llantwit Major and Abertillery Bluebirds finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llantwit Major.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Llantwit Major
15%
Draws
0%
Abertillery Bluebirds
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llantwit Major

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Llantwit Major carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Llantwit Major's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 16%
Abertillery Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llantwit Major Abertillery Bluebirds
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Abertillery Bluebirds
3:2
Sep 23, 2023 Cymru South
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llantwit Major Compare

Top Goalscorer Woodington J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jones L. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Abertillery Bluebirds Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ward B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llantwit Major 84 / 100
Abertillery Bluebirds 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llantwit Major Abertillery Bluebirds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llantwit Major Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Abertillery Bluebirds conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Abertillery Bluebirds registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Llantwit Major found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (35 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Llantwit Major VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llantwit Major

(Home)
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2
Llantwit Major
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 7

Abertillery Bluebirds

(Away)
21 Sept
New Inn
2 : 1
Abertillery Bluebirds
20 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 5
Afan Lido
16 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 3
Abertillery Bluebirds
13 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
0 : 7
Ammanford Town
29 Mar
Cambrian United
5 : 2
Abertillery Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Briton Ferry 30 23 2 5 87:39 71
2 Llanelli 30 20 4 6 80:40 64
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 6 7 60:42 57
4 Cambrian United 30 14 8 8 60:37 50
5 Caerau Ely 30 15 4 11 72:60 49
6 Carmarthen Town 30 12 11 7 50:39 47
7 Afan Lido 30 14 4 12 68:56 46
8 Goytre Utd 30 12 7 11 58:59 43
9 Cwmbran Celtic 30 12 6 12 69:64 42
10 Baglan Dragons 30 11 8 11 46:41 41
11 Trefelin 30 10 8 12 47:63 38
12 Llantwit Major 30 9 8 13 44:54 35
13 Taffs Well 30 8 8 14 44:49 32
14 Pontardawe 30 8 8 14 52:70 32
15 Abertillery Bluebirds 30 3 6 21 34:94 15
16 Abergavenny Town 30 2 2 26 20:84 8
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2024/2025 (Main)