Sport Picks
Llantwit Major vs Pontardawe
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Llantwit Major host Pontardawe in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Pontardawe have shipped 2.39 goals a game lately, while Llantwit Major have conceded 1.74 and scored 1.39. Past meetings favor Llantwit Major slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.19, favoring Llantwit Major. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Llantwit Major lately — more wins on the board than Pontardawe.
- Win probability leans Llantwit Major's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llantwit Major | Pontardawe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 2.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pontardawe let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Llantwit Major found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Difficult form: Pontardawe registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Llantwit Major
(Home)Pontardawe
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 13 |
| 6 | Treowen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Baglan Dragons | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Newport City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:25 | 2 |
