Sport Picks
Llantwit Major vs Treharris Athletic
Wales
FA Cup 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
Treharris Athletic in this FA Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treharris Athletic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Treharris Athletic haven't matched Llantwit Major's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Llantwit Major have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Treharris Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 20%
Treharris Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llantwit Major | Treharris Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 12 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 3.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 12, 2013 FAW Welsh Cup
Llantwit Major vs Treharris Athletic
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llantwit Major 32 / 100
Treharris Athletic 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llantwit Major Treharris Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Treharris Athletic has conceded goals in 100% of their last 12 outings.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Llantwit Major found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Difficult form: Treharris Athletic registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Llantwit Major VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Llantwit Major
(Home) 12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
18 Apr
Llantwit Major
1 : 3 Cambrian United
28 Mar
Llantwit Major
1 : 4 Caerau Ely
14 Mar
Llantwit Major
2 : 3 Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 3
Treharris Athletic
(Away) 16 Sept
Treharris Athletic
1 : 2 Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Abergavenny Town
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
14 Aug
Pencoed
5 : 0 Treharris Athletic
10 Nov
Treharris Athletic
3 : 4 Briton Ferry
20 Oct
Treharris Athletic
3 : 2 Cornelly
Page 1 of 3
16 Sept
Abergavenny Town
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
14 Aug
Pencoed
5 : 0 Treharris Athletic
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
12 Oct
Llantwit Major
2 : 3 Treharris Athletic
02 Oct
Grange Harlequins
3 : 0 Treharris Athletic
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield 6
Machynlleth 1
Gwalchmai 2
Llanfair United 3
Rhydymwyn 2
Caerwys 1
Pwllheli 0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Cambrian United 4
Butetown FC 0
Goytre AFC 1
Pontardawe 2
Goytre Utd 3
Trefelin 1
Newcastle Emlyn 1
Chepstow Town 2
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nefyn United 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 1
Denbigh 0
Caersws FC 2
Porthmadog 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Llanrug 1
Caernarfon 4
Ton Pentre 3
Fairfield United FC 0
Llwydcoed 1
Sully Sports 3
Llanidloes Town 3
Glan Conwy FC 1
Llanrhaeadr 1
Llandudno FC 5
Treharris Athletic 3
Llantwit Major 2
AFC Porth 1
Monmouth 2
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 3
West End 2
Aberaeron 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Llandrindod 3
Newport Civil Service 0
Cardiff Hibernian 0
Caerau Ely 4
Penycae FC 7
Brickfield Rangers 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Town 3
Llanberis FC 1
Llanrwst United 3
Conwy Borough 4
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Penybont 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Splott 1
Caldicot 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberdare Town 4
Treowen 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Briton Ferry 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Buckley 2
Llangollen 0
Chirk AAA FC 0
Rhayader 1
Tywyn Bryncrug 3
Berriew FC 2
Glantraeth FC 2
Bodedern 3
Cefn Druids 3
Holyhead 0
Coedpoeth 2
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 6
Undy 5
Presteigne St. Andrews 2
Taffs Well 0
Barry Town 1
Rhoose FC 2
Garden Village 1
Bridgend Street 1
Tata Steel 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Guilsfield 1
Llanfair United 2
Rhydymwyn 4
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Cambrian United 2
Pontardawe 0
Goytre Utd 0
Chepstow Town 1
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Nefyn United 1
Caersws FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Caernarfon 1
Ton Pentre 0
Sully Sports 1
Llanidloes Town 2
Llandudno FC 0
Treharris Athletic 1
Monmouth 7
Newtown -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 6
Llandrindod 4
Caerau Ely 3
Penycae FC 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS -
TBD -
Flint Town 2
Conwy Borough 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Penybont 0
Caldicot 3
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberdare Town 3
Briton Ferry 2
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Buckley 1
Rhayader 0
Tywyn Bryncrug 1
Bodedern 5
Cefn Druids 3
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 1
Undy 3
Barry Town 4
Rhoose FC 1
Tata Steel 0
TBD -
Bala -
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth 4
Llanfair United 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Afan Lido 2
Cambrian United 3
Chepstow Town 1
Connahs Q. 1
Caersws FC 2
Porthmadog 2
Sully Sports 1
Llanidloes Town 1
Monmouth 2
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llandrindod 1
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS 2
Conwy Borough 1
Port Talbot 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Bangor City 2
Rhyl 1
Penybont 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberdare Town 4
Prestatyn 2
Buckley 0
Bodedern 2
Cefn Druids 5
Barry Town 2
Rhoose FC 1
Bala 6
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth 5
Afan Lido 1
Cambrian United 3
Caersws FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Monmouth 2
Newtown 2
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS 2
Carmarthen Town 0
Bangor City 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberdare Town 4
Bodedern 1
Cefn Druids 0
Bala 5
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Caersws FC 1
Porthmadog 1
Holywell Town FC 2
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Aberdare Town 1
Bala 2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Holywell Town FC 1
TNS 2
Bala 1
Final
Aberystwyth 2
TNS 3
