Sport Picks

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Llanuwchllyn vs Caersws FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llanuwchllyn host Caersws FC in the Cymru North. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Llanuwchllyn at 1.75 goals for, 2.29 against; Caersws FC at 1.71 for, 1.42 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.63 - 2.25) back Caersws FC to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Llanuwchllyn
20%
Draws
42%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caersws FC lately — more wins on the board than Llanuwchllyn.
  • Llanuwchllyn are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Llanuwchllyn Clean Sheet 10%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanuwchllyn Caersws FC
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanuwchllyn 34 / 100
Caersws FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanuwchllyn Caersws FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanuwchllyn found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (24 games).

Defensive concern: Caersws FC conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Llanuwchllyn went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Caersws FC has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llanuwchllyn VS Caersws FC
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanuwchllyn

(Home)
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Llanuwchllyn
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
22 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
0 : 0
Rhyl
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Caersws FC

(Away)
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Caersws FC
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 21:4 21
2 Newtown 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Bala 8 6 0 2 15:10 18
4 Mold Alexandra 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
5 Bangor 1876 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
7 Caersws FC 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
9 Llanuwchllyn 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
10 Rhyl 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
11 Buckley 8 2 2 4 15:14 8
12 Denbigh 8 2 1 5 16:17 7
13 Holyhead 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
14 Ruthin Town 8 1 1 6 6:19 4
15 Gresford 7 0 1 6 2:20 1
16 Penrhyncoch 8 0 1 7 4:27 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)