Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lleida vs Alcoyano

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 Camp d'Esports, Lleida
Sun, Apr 5, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lleida host Alcoyano in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Lleida at 0.6 goals for, 1.47 against; Alcoyano at 0.89 for, 0.71 against. Past meetings favor Lleida slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.08) point toward Alcoyano. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Lleida
35%
Draws
41%
Alcoyano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcoyano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Alcoyano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lleida Clean Sheet 20%
Alcoyano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lleida Alcoyano
Matches Played 15 28
Wins 1 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.6 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Lleida vs Alcoyano
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Alcoyano vs Lleida
0:0
Mar 31, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Alcoyano vs Lleida
2:1
Nov 11, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Lleida vs Alcoyano
2:0
Mar 4, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Lleida vs Alcoyano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lleida 36 / 100
Alcoyano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lleida Alcoyano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcoyano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Lleida stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lleida scored in 53% of their last 15 games.

Alcoyano let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lleida VS Alcoyano
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lleida

(Home)
10 May
Lleida
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
03 May
FC Lescala
4 : 1
Lleida
26 Apr
Lleida
1 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
19 Apr
Mollerussa
0 : 0
Lleida
12 Apr
Lleida
0 : 0
San Cristobal CP
Page 1 of 3

Alcoyano

(Away)
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Alcoyano
2 : 2
Valencia B
19 Aug
Aguilas FC
3 : 0
Alcoyano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)