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Llosetense vs Arenal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Pericas A.
53' Event
Leon J.
88' Event
Castaner R.

AI Match Summary

Llosetense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Llosetense
15%
Draws
20%
Arenal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llosetense lately — more wins on the board than Arenal.
  • Model gives Llosetense a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Llosetense have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 20%
Arenal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llosetense Arenal
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 18 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.89 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Arenal
3:1
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Arenal
3:0
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Llosetense
1:2
May 7, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Arenal
4:0
Dec 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Llosetense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llosetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Castaner R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Arenal Compare

Top Goalscorer Pericas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llosetense 85 / 100
Arenal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llosetense Arenal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Arenal let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Llosetense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llosetense VS Arenal
1.5 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
25% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Llosetense

(Home)
03 Oct
Llosetense
3 : 1
Arenal
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3
Llosetense
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
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Arenal

(Away)
03 Oct
Llosetense
3 : 1
Arenal
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)