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Llosetense vs Cardassar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Galiano A.
66' Event
Sastre S. T.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Llosetense and Cardassar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Llosetense
30%
Draws
47%
Cardassar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardassar haven't matched Llosetense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 20%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llosetense Cardassar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.72 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Cardassar
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Llosetense
2:1
Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Llosetense
1:1
May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Cardassar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llosetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Galiano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cardassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sastre S. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llosetense 36 / 100
Cardassar 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llosetense Cardassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Cardassar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Llosetense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llosetense VS Cardassar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llosetense

(Home)
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
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Cardassar

(Away)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)