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Llosetense vs Ferriolense

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Llosetense and Ferriolense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Llosetense
20%
Draws
30%
Ferriolense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Llosetense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Llosetense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 68%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llosetense Ferriolense
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.78 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Llosetense
0:4
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Ferriolense
2:0
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs Llosetense
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Ferriolense
2:3
May 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Ferriolense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llosetense 50 / 100
Ferriolense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llosetense Ferriolense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: Ferriolense conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Llosetense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Llosetense VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llosetense

(Home)
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
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Ferriolense

(Away)
19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1
Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1
Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4
Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1
Ferriolense
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