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Llosetense vs UD Alaro

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 game between Llosetense and UD Alaro finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Llosetense
20%
Draws
0%
UD Alaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llosetense come out ahead of UD Alaro on wins alone.
  • Llosetense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 20%
UD Alaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llosetense UD Alaro
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 17 3
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.89 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs UD Alaro
3:0
Sep 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Llosetense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llosetense 85 / 100
UD Alaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llosetense UD Alaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

UD Alaro has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: UD Alaro registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Llosetense VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llosetense

(Home)
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
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UD Alaro

(Away)
15 May
Collerense
3 : 0
UD Alaro
07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4
Alcudia
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
UD Alaro
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1
Mercadal
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0
UD Alaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Formentera 38 20 13 5 41:13 73
2 Llosetense 38 20 12 6 66:35 72
3 Pena Deportiva 38 21 9 8 57:40 72
4 Mercadal 38 19 10 9 64:32 67
5 Constancia 38 19 9 10 64:42 66
6 UD Poblense 38 18 12 8 64:37 66
7 Binissalem 38 17 15 6 63:33 66
8 Soller 38 13 14 11 52:54 53
9 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 14 8 16 43:50 50
10 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 12 14 45:43 48
11 CD Montuiri 38 12 9 17 49:58 45
12 Campos 38 10 13 15 34:44 43
13 Collerense 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
14 UD Alaro 38 10 12 16 44:55 42
15 Alcudia 38 9 15 14 32:52 42
16 Ferriolense 38 10 11 17 39:50 41
17 Platges de Calvia 38 7 20 11 32:41 41
18 CD Son Cladera 38 9 8 21 30:65 35
19 Manacor 38 6 13 19 36:65 31
20 Atletico Rafal 38 5 11 22 37:73 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)