Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llwydcoed vs Trefelin

Wales Wales

Division 1
Sat, Feb 15, 2020
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llwydcoed host Trefelin in the Division 1. Trefelin are expected to control this from the start. Trefelin have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Llwydcoed have conceded 2.25 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Llwydcoed slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 2.62, favoring Trefelin. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Llwydcoed
20%
Draws
32%
Trefelin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llwydcoed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trefelin come out ahead of Llwydcoed on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Llwydcoed's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Llwydcoed Clean Sheet 10%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llwydcoed Trefelin
Matches Played 16 42
Wins 2 28
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2.36
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2020 Division 1
Trefelin vs Llwydcoed
0:0
Feb 15, 2020 Division 1
Llwydcoed vs Trefelin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llwydcoed 47 / 100
Trefelin 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llwydcoed Trefelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llwydcoed Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llwydcoed found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (16 games).

Trefelin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Trefelin has conceded goals in 55% of their last 42 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trefelin
0 Goals Scored 4.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Llwydcoed

(Home)
18 Oct
Llwydcoed
2 : 5
Treowen
27 Sept
Llwydcoed
3 : 1
Lliswerry
14 Jun
Caerau Ely
4 : 3
Llwydcoed
21 Sept
Newport Corinthians
1 : 0
Llwydcoed
07 Mar
Llwydcoed
0 : 2
Port Talbot
Page 1 of 4

Trefelin

(Away)
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 20 17 3 0 64:23 54
2 Port Talbot 18 10 5 3 33:16 35
3 Risca United 16 10 3 3 32:24 33
4 Goytre AFC 18 9 5 4 46:22 32
5 Garden Village 20 8 5 7 25:29 29
6 Caldicot 18 8 2 8 27:25 26
7 Penydarren 13 7 3 3 26:22 24
8 Ton Pentre 19 6 4 9 31:42 22
9 Bridgend Street 15 6 3 6 35:25 21
10 Pontardawe 16 5 4 7 22:28 19
11 Abergavenny Town 20 5 3 12 25:42 18
12 Aberbargoed Buds 15 4 4 7 25:31 16
13 Monmouth 17 4 2 11 27:39 14
14 Llwydcoed 16 3 5 8 20:33 14
15 Croesyceiliog FC 13 3 4 6 19:27 13
16 Dinas Powys 18 2 3 13 28:57 9
Promotion - Cymru South 2020/2021 (Main)