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LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist Kharkiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. LNZ Cherkasy have averaged 1.18 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Metalist Kharkiv's 1.17 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, LNZ Cherkasy have won 1 to Metalist Kharkiv's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2025, ending 0:2. xG projections (0.94 - 0.88) back LNZ Cherkasy to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
LNZ Cherkasy
20%
Draws
24%
Metalist Kharkiv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: LNZ Cherkasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Metalist Kharkiv lately — more wins on the board than LNZ Cherkasy.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Metalist Kharkiv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
LNZ Cherkasy Clean Sheet 20%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LNZ Cherkasy Metalist Kharkiv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.18 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Metalist Kharkiv vs LNZ Cherkasy
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LNZ Cherkasy 31 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LNZ Cherkasy Metalist Kharkiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LNZ Cherkasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metalist Kharkiv let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

LNZ Cherkasy has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

LNZ Cherkasy's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

LNZ Cherkasy VS Metalist Kharkiv
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

LNZ Cherkasy

(Home)
18 Oct
Kryvbas
0 : 3
LNZ Cherkasy
11 Oct
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 1
Kudrivka
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
16 Sept
Bukovyna
0 : 1
LNZ Cherkasy
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
Page 1 of 6

Metalist Kharkiv

(Away)
17 Oct
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2
Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -