Sport Picks
Lobi vs Nasarawa United
Nigeria
NPFL 2024/2025 Aper Aku Stadium, Makurdi 
Match Events
4'
4'
Japhet K.
35'
35'
Sub
John J. In: Kumater S.
Out: John J.
47'
47'
Kumater S.
AI Match Summary
The NPFL 2024/2025 game between Lobi and Nasarawa United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nasarawa United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lobi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Lobi haven't matched Nasarawa United's recent run of results.
- 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lobi Clean Sheet 20%
Nasarawa United Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lobi | Nasarawa United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2025 NPFL
Lobi vs Nasarawa United
1:2
Dec 7, 2024 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Lobi
1:0
May 1, 2022 NPFL
Lobi vs Nasarawa United
2:1
Jan 16, 2022 NPFL
Nasarawa United vs Lobi
2:1
Jul 21, 2021 NPFL
Lobi vs Nasarawa United
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lobi Compare
Top Goalscorer Japhet K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Nasarawa United Compare
Top Goalscorer Kumater S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yusuf A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lobi 31 / 100
Nasarawa United 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lobi Nasarawa United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lobi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nasarawa United has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Lobi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Lobi's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Lobi VS Nasarawa United
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lobi
(Home) 28 Mar
City FC Abuja
0 : 1 Lobi
25 Mar
Lobi
1 : 0 Kada Warriors
14 Mar
Mighty Jets
1 : 0 Lobi
07 Mar
Lobi
2 : 0 ABS
28 Feb
Basira
2 : 0 Lobi
Page 1 of 6
25 Mar
Lobi
1 : 0 Kada Warriors
07 Mar
Lobi
2 : 0 ABS
21 Feb
Lobi
2 : 1 Doma United
20 Dec
Lobi
2 : 0 Sokoto United
10 Dec
Lobi
1 : 1 Basira
Page 1 of 4
Nasarawa United
(Away) 17 Jun
Nasarawa United
1 : 2 Ikorodu City
11 Jun
Nasarawa United
2 : 1 Plateau United
06 Jun
Rivers United
2 : 3 Nasarawa United
01 Jun
Ejigbo City
0 : 3 Nasarawa United
24 May
Barau
3 : 0 Nasarawa United
Page 1 of 7
06 Jun
Rivers United
2 : 3 Nasarawa United
01 Jun
Ejigbo City
0 : 3 Nasarawa United
24 May
Barau
3 : 0 Nasarawa United
03 May
Shooting
3 : 2 Nasarawa United
14 Apr
El Kanemi Warriors
1 : 0 Nasarawa United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo Stars | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 49:31 | 71 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Abia Warriors | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 43:40 | 60 |
| 4 | Ikorodu City | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 60:45 | 59 |
| 5 | Bendel | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:33 | 56 |
| 6 | Enyimba International | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 38:35 | 55 |
| 7 | Plateau United | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 40:38 | 54 |
| 8 | Shooting | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 39:38 | 54 |
| 9 | Kano Pillars | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 44:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Rangers International | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:34 | 52 |
| 11 | Bayelsa United | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 39:36 | 52 |
| 12 | Nasarawa United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 40:41 | 52 |
| 13 | Niger Tornadoes | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 40:46 | 51 |
| 14 | Kwara | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 15 | Katsina Utd | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 30:36 | 50 |
| 16 | El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 34:41 | 49 |
| 17 | Heartland FC | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 18 | Akwa United | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:39 | 44 |
| 19 | Sunshine Stars | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 34:51 | 41 |
| 20 | Lobi | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:56 | 28 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
