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Lobos ULMX vs Tritones Vallarta

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lobos ULMX host Tritones Vallarta in the Primera Premier. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Lobos ULMX have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Tritones Vallarta's 1.03 scored and 1.1 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.00 - 1.06) back Tritones Vallarta to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lobos ULMX
35%
Draws
28%
Tritones Vallarta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lobos ULMX

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tritones Vallarta come out ahead of Lobos ULMX on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lobos ULMX Clean Sheet 20%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobos ULMX Tritones Vallarta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobos ULMX 32 / 100
Tritones Vallarta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobos ULMX Tritones Vallarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lobos ULMX scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Tritones Vallarta has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Lobos ULMX remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Tritones Vallarta's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lobos ULMX VS Tritones Vallarta
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobos ULMX

(Home)
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1
Lobos ULMX
12 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 1
Lobos ULMX
29 Mar
Lobos ULMX
1 : 0
Zitacuaro
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Tritones Vallarta

(Away)
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
28 Aug
Tritones Vallarta
0 : 1
Reboceros de La Piedad
25 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
22 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Deportiva Venados
19 Apr
Tapachula
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 3 3 0 0 7:2 10
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
3 Tigres de Alica 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
4 Zacatepec 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
5 Los Cabos United 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
6 Tritones Vallarta 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
7 Lobos ULMX 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
8 Cordobes FC 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
9 Purepechas 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 4 3 1 0 15:5 12
2 Celaya 3 2 1 0 6:1 8
3 Pioneros 3 2 0 1 9:4 7
4 Deportiva Venados 3 1 2 0 6:4 5
5 Jaguares De Chiapas 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
6 Montaneses 3 1 1 1 4:6 3
7 Tapachula 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
8 Chapulineros 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
9 Inter Playa Del Carmen 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)