Sport Picks
Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Honduras
Liga Nacional Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca 
AI Match Summary
Lobos UPNFM host Marathon in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Lobos UPNFM at 1.03 goals for, 1.45 against; Marathon at 1.31 for, 0.92 against. Past meetings favor Marathon slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.69 - 1.63) back Marathon to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marathon have won more games recently than Lobos UPNFM.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Marathon taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lobos UPNFM | Marathon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 36 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lobos UPNFM found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Marathon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 36 matches.
Solid form: Lobos UPNFM remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lobos UPNFM
(Home)Marathon
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Marathon | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Genesis FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Estrella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 8 | Atletico Independiente | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Lobos UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 10 | CD Choloma | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:19 | 6 |
| 12 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:18 | 5 |
