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Lochee United vs Bathgate Thistle

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Lochee United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lochee United
25%
Draws
35%
Bathgate Thistle
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lochee United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bathgate Thistle haven't matched Lochee United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lochee United a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Lochee United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lochee United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Lochee United Clean Sheet 14%
Bathgate Thistle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lochee United Bathgate Thistle
Matches Played 22 2
Wins 11 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 2.05 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2008 Scottish Cup
Lochee United vs Bathgate Thistle
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lochee United 84 / 100
Bathgate Thistle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lochee United Bathgate Thistle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lochee United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lochee United scored in 95% of their last 22 outings.

Defensive concern: Bathgate Thistle conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Lochee United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lochee United VS Bathgate Thistle
2 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lochee United

(Home)
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Boness United
0 : 5
Lochee United
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2
Brechin
29 Aug
Gala Fairydean Rovers
2 : 3
Lochee United
22 Aug
Lochee United
5 : 2
Linlithgow Rose
Page 1 of 5

Bathgate Thistle

(Away)
05 Jul
Broxburn Athletic
2 : 0
Bathgate Thistle
27 Sept
Lochee United
3 : 1
Bathgate Thistle

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
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St Johnstone -
Forres Mechanics 4
Wigtown & Bladnoch 2
TBD -
Keith -
Selkirk 4
Coldstream 3
Lossiemouth 1
Dalbeattie Star 5
Stranraer -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brora Rangers 3
Newton Stewart 2
TBD -
Forfar Athletic -
Dundee Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Livingston -
TBD -
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Preston Athletic 3
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1
TBD -
East Stirlingshire -
Ross County -
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Fraserburgh 6
Hawick Royal Albert 3
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Dumbarton -
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Hamilton -
Celtic -
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Dundee FC -
Peterhead -
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Morton -
Albion Rovers -
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Berwick -
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Queen's Park -
Motherwell -
TBD -
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TBD -
Vale Of Leithen 0
Glasgow University 1
Edinburgh University 1
Civil Service Strollers 2
Banks O' Dee 10
Fort William 0
Deveronvale 2
Inverurie Loco Works 5
Brechin -
TBD -
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Wick Academy 3
St Cuthbert Wand. 0
Nairn County 0
Edinburgh City 2
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St. Mirren -
Dunfermline -
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Montrose -
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Girvan 0
Huntly 1
TBD -
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Clyde -
Spartans 2
Pollok 1
TBD -
Annan -
Cowdenbeath -
TBD -
TBD -
Elgin City -
Cove Rangers -
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Whitehill Welfare -
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TBD -
Airdrieonians -
East Fife -
TBD -
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Arbroath -
Clachnacuddin 4
Burntisland Shipyard 0
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Crichton -
Threave Rovers 3
Golspie Sutherland 0
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Stenhousemuir -
Alloa -
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Raith -
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Aberdeen -
Inverness -
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Stirling -
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Partick -
Ayr -
TBD -
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Buckie Thistle 3
Rothes 1
Bathgate Thistle 1
Lochee United 3
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Kilmarnock -
Hearts -
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Hibernian -
Queen of the South -
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Falkirk -
1/64-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Johnstone -
Forres Mechanics 3
Keith 2
Selkirk 0
Dalbeattie Star 6
Stranraer -
TBD -
Brora Rangers 1
Forfar Athletic 3
Dundee Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Livingston -
TBD -
Preston Athletic 2
East Stirlingshire 4
Ross County -
TBD -
Fraserburgh 0
Dumbarton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Albion Rovers 2
Berwick 1
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vale Of Leithen 1
Civil Service Strollers 0
Banks O' Dee 1
Inverurie Loco Works 5
Brechin -
TBD -
Wick Academy 1
Edinburgh City 4
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St. Mirren -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
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Montrose 2
Huntly 0
TBD -
Clyde -
Spartans 2
Annan 1
Cowdenbeath 1
Elgin City 2
Cove Rangers 1
Whitehill Welfare 0
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Clachnacuddin 1
Crichton 0
Threave Rovers 0
Stenhousemuir 5
Alloa -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberdeen -
Inverness -
TBD -
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Stirling -
TBD -
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Partick -
Ayr -
TBD -
Buckie Thistle 0
Lochee United 3
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Kilmarnock -
Hearts -
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Hibernian -
Queen of the South -
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Falkirk -
1/32-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
St Johnstone -
Forres Mechanics 6
Dalbeattie Star 4
Stranraer 0
Forfar Athletic 2
Dundee Utd -
TBD -
Livingston 1
East Stirlingshire 2
Ross County 4
Dumbarton 3
TBD -
Hamilton -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Peterhead 2
Morton 1
Albion Rovers 1
Queen's Park 2
Motherwell -
TBD -
Vale Of Leithen 0
Inverurie Loco Works 4
Brechin 3
Edinburgh City 0
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
Montrose 0
Clyde 2
Spartans 2
Elgin City 1
Cove Rangers 0
Airdrieonians 3
East Fife 2
Arbroath 0
Clachnacuddin 0
Stenhousemuir 5
Alloa 2
Raith 1
TBD -
Aberdeen -
Inverness -
TBD -
Stirling 2
Partick 3
Ayr 4
Lochee United 2
TBD -
Kilmarnock -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
1/16-finals
Rangers 2
St Johnstone 0
Forres Mechanics 1
Forfar Athletic 6
Dundee Utd 4
East Stirlingshire 0
Ross County 0
Hamilton 1
Celtic 2
Dundee FC 1
Peterhead 2
Queen's Park 3
Motherwell 3
Inverurie Loco Works 0
Brechin 1
St. Mirren 3
Dunfermline 2
Clyde 0
Spartans 1
Airdrieonians 2
East Fife 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Alloa 1
Aberdeen 2
Inverness 3
Partick 0
Ayr 3
Kilmarnock 5
Hearts 2
Hibernian 0
Queen of the South 2
Falkirk 4
1/8-finals
Rangers 4
Forfar Athletic 0
Dundee Utd 1
Hamilton 2
Celtic 2
Queen's Park 1
Motherwell 1
St. Mirren 2
Dunfermline 2
Airdrieonians 1
East Fife 0
Aberdeen 5
Inverness 2
Kilmarnock 0
Hearts 0
Falkirk 1
Quarter-finals
Rangers 5
Hamilton 1
Celtic 0
St. Mirren 1
Dunfermline 2
Aberdeen 1
Inverness 0
Falkirk 1
Semi-finals
Rangers 3
St. Mirren 0
Dunfermline 0
Falkirk 2
Final
Rangers 1
Falkirk 0