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Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Merani Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Kantaria Z.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025 game between Locomotive Tbilisi 2 and Merani Tbilisi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
28%
Draws
22%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Locomotive Tbilisi 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Merani Tbilisi come out ahead of Locomotive Tbilisi 2 on wins alone.
  • Locomotive Tbilisi 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Merani Tbilisi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
1:2
Aug 21, 2025 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
0:1
Oct 31, 2024 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:2
May 9, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
3:0
Apr 21, 2006 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kantaria Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 48 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Merani Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Locomotive Tbilisi 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Merani Tbilisi let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 VS Merani Tbilisi
1.67 Goals Scored 1.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shturmi30217268:2270
2Gori30207358:2867
3Odishi 191930204659:1964
4Dusheti30196579:3563
5FC Tbilisi 202530177659:3258
6WIT Georgia301410664:3252
7Orbi301111858:4044
8Didube301271147:4343
9Merani Tbilisi30881439:5232
10Betlemi Keda30781543:7129
11FC Gardabani30851737:6729
12Margveti 200630771636:7128
13Locomotive Tbilisi 230831943:6827
14Khobi30751835:6326
15Borjomi30651934:6023
16Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30342318:7413