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Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Zestafoni

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 play Zestafoni in the Liga 3 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Locomotive Tbilisi 2 averaged 1.44 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. Zestafoni averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Locomotive Tbilisi 2 won 1, Zestafoni won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 27, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Locomotive Tbilisi 2 and 1.81 for Zestafoni. This points to a Locomotive Tbilisi 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
32%
Draws
33%
Zestafoni
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Locomotive Tbilisi 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Locomotive Tbilisi 2 picked up more points recently compared to Zestafoni.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Zestafoni
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 11
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2024 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
0:2
Apr 4, 2024 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Zestafoni
1:1
Dec 1, 2023 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Zestafoni
0:1
Aug 24, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogichaishvili D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zestafoni Compare

Top Goalscorer Pantsulaia S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 34 / 100
Zestafoni 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Zestafoni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Locomotive Tbilisi 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 attacking → ← attacking Zestafoni

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Zestafoni let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zestafoni lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 29
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gonio30204681:3664
2Meshakhte Tkibuli30186654:2260
3Merani Martvili30177660:3058
4Iberia 1999 2301510552:2655
5Orbi30159650:3254
6Gori30158749:2253
7Merani Tbilisi301110949:4243
8Betlemi Keda301251349:6141
9Locomotive Tbilisi 2301241447:5840
10FC Gardabani30971442:4134
11FC Tbilisi 202530961546:5433
12Borjomi30841831:5828
13Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30691519:3327
14Zestafoni306111332:4926
15Matchakhela30661830:8624
16Guria30561930:7121