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Locri 1909 vs Catanzaro

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Compagnon M.
6' Event
Pittarello F.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Pittarello F.

AI Match Summary

Catanzaro in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catanzaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Locri 1909
20%
Draws
48%
Catanzaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catanzaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Catanzaro have won more games recently than Locri 1909.
  • Locri 1909 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 15%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locri 1909 Catanzaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Locri 1909 vs Catanzaro
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pelle A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Compagnon M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pittarello F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locri 1909 48 / 100
Catanzaro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locri 1909 Catanzaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Locri 1909 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Locri 1909 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Catanzaro conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Catanzaro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Catanzaro
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Locri 1909

(Home)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
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Catanzaro

(Away)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
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