Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Locri 1909 vs Lamezia Terme

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Sun, May 5, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Locri 1909 host Lamezia Terme in the Serie D - Group I 2023/2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Lamezia Terme have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Locri 1909 have conceded 2 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Locri 1909 slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.35 - 1.50) back Lamezia Terme to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Locri 1909
40%
Draws
29%
Lamezia Terme
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Locri 1909 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 16%
Lamezia Terme Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locri 1909 Lamezia Terme
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 5 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Lamezia Terme
0:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia Terme vs Locri 1909
0:0
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Lamezia Terme
0:2
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia Terme vs Locri 1909
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locri 1909 31 / 100
Lamezia Terme 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locri 1909 Lamezia Terme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locri 1909 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Lamezia Terme's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 3 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Locri 1909 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Locri 1909 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Locri 1909

(Home)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
Page 1 of 6

Lamezia Terme

(Away)
15 Nov
Angri
:
Lamezia Terme
01 Nov
Lamezia Terme
4 : 1
S. Agata
29 Oct
Nuova Gioiese
0 : 0
Lamezia Terme
25 Oct
Reggina
3 : 0
Lamezia Terme

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)