Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Locri 1909 vs S. Agata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Faccetti P.
58' Event
Leveque A.
90' Event
Catalano G.

AI Match Summary

S. Agata in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Agata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Locri 1909
35%
Draws
46%
S. Agata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: S. Agata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to S. Agata lately — more wins on the board than Locri 1909.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 12%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locri 1909 S. Agata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs S. Agata
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Locri 1909
2:3
Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs S. Agata
1:1
Oct 4, 2023 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Locri 1909
2:0
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Locri 1909
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leveque A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Faccetti P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Catalano G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locri 1909 30 / 100
S. Agata 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locri 1909 S. Agata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: S. Agata conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Locri 1909 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Locri 1909 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Locri 1909 VS S. Agata
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Locri 1909

(Home)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
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S. Agata

(Away)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)