Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lodde vs AFC Malmo

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Own Goal
40' Event
Mesic D.
89' Event
Reuterskiold A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with AFC Malmo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Lodde
30%
Draws
18%
AFC Malmo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lodde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Malmo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lodde a 52% chance of winning this.
  • AFC Malmo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AFC Malmo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lodde Clean Sheet 12%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lodde AFC Malmo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.27 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Lodde vs AFC Malmo
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lodde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reuterskiold A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lodde 65 / 100
AFC Malmo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lodde AFC Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lodde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: AFC Malmo conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Lodde went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lodde's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AFC Malmo
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lodde

(Home)
21 Aug
Lodde
1 : 3
GAIS
04 Jun
Lodde
4 : 3
Rosengard
19 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 4
Lodde
13 Oct
Lodde
3 : 4
Hogaborgs
05 Oct
Osterlen FF
0 : 3
Lodde
Page 1 of 6

AFC Malmo

(Away)
05 Sept
AFC Malmo
2 : 2
Atvidaberg
30 Aug
Laholms
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
22 Aug
AFC Malmo
2 : 5
Lunds Bois
15 Aug
Olympic
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
08 Aug
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Trelleborg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Huddinge 3
Nacka FC 2
TBD -
Gefle -
Haninge 0
FC Stockholm Internazionale 4
TBD -
Sundsvall -
IFK Eskilstuna 1
IFK Stocksund 2
TBD -
Hammarby -
Dalkurd 1
Sollentuna 5
TBD -
Orebro -
Enskede 1
FC Arlanda 0
TBD -
Brage -
Kubikenborgs 3
Gottne IF 2
TBD -
AIK -
Arsunda IF 2
Korsnas 1
TBD -
Skovde -
Forward 0
FBK Karlstad 5
TBD -
Sandviken -
Gute 2
Vasalund 1
TBD -
Vasteras SK -
IK Franke 0
Taby FK 2
TBD -
Oddevold -
Bralanda IF 2
Karlstad 4
TBD -
Sirius -
IFK Ostersund 1
Hudiksvall 0
TBD -
Brommapojkarna -
Viggbyholms 1
Karlbergs 2
TBD -
Ostersund -
Stegeborg 2
Nykopings 4
TBD -
Degerfors -
Skelleftea 1
Pitea 2
TBD -
Norrkoping -
Sunnersta AIF 0
FC Jarfalla 2
TBD -
Djurgarden -
Timmernabbens 1
IFK Berga 5
TBD -
Orgryte -
Jonkopings BK 0
Smedby 4
TBD -
Utsikten -
Tidaholms 1
Jonkoping 4
TBD -
Varnamo -
Landvetter 0
Falkenberg 4
TBD -
Landskrona -
Angelholm 2
Torns 0
TBD -
Kalmar -
Torslanda 2
Onsala 1
TBD -
Malmo FF -
Balkan 1
Simrishamn 2
TBD -
Varberg -
Styrso 0
Trollhattan 5
TBD -
GAIS -
Astorps 0
Eskilsminne 2
TBD -
Elfsborg -
IFK Skovde 0
Tord 1
TBD -
Hacken -
Herrestads AIF 1
Vanersborgs IF 0
TBD -
Helsingborg -
IK Zenith 0
Tvaaker 3
TBD -
Trelleborg -
Lodde 0
AFC Malmo 4
TBD -
IFK Goteborg -
IF Haga 3
Borens 2
TBD -
Halmstad -
Kristianopels GoIF 1
IFK Hassleholm 3
TBD -
Mjallby -
Gotaholms 3
Gauthiod 2
TBD -
Oster -
Final
Huddinge 0
Gefle 1
FC Stockholm Internazionale 1
Sundsvall 0
IFK Stocksund 1
Hammarby 6
Sollentuna 0
Orebro 2
Enskede 1
Brage 2
Kubikenborgs 1
AIK 7
Arsunda IF 0
Skovde 5
FBK Karlstad 2
Sandviken 3
Gute 1
Vasteras SK 3
Taby FK 0
Oddevold 2
Karlstad 1
Sirius 3
IFK Ostersund 0
Brommapojkarna 5
Karlbergs 2
Ostersund 1
Nykopings 1
Degerfors 4
Pitea 1
Norrkoping 3
FC Jarfalla 1
Djurgarden 6
IFK Berga 1
Orgryte 2
Smedby 1
Utsikten 2
Jonkoping 1
Varnamo 2
Falkenberg 0
Landskrona 2
Angelholm 0
Kalmar 4
Torslanda 2
Malmo FF 5
Simrishamn 1
Varberg 3
Trollhattan 2
GAIS 4
Eskilsminne 0
Elfsborg 5
Tord 1
Hacken 2
Herrestads AIF 0
Helsingborg 2
Tvaaker 1
Trelleborg 3
AFC Malmo 0
IFK Goteborg 2
IF Haga 0
Halmstad 2
IFK Hassleholm 1
Mjallby 5
Gotaholms 1
Oster 3