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Logan Lightning vs Ipswich

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Cornubia Park, Logan
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Kovacevic D.
51' Event
Carre J.
54' Event
Ozzi J.

AI Match Summary

Logan Lightning in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Logan Lightning.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Logan Lightning
20%
Draws
29%
Ipswich
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Logan Lightning

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Logan Lightning average 1.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Ipswich's 1.37.
  • Model gives Logan Lightning a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 16%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Logan Lightning Ipswich
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Ipswich
3:2
Apr 10, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Logan Lightning
2:0
Jun 3, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Ipswich
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Logan Lightning
3:1
Aug 2, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Logan Lightning
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Logan Lightning Compare

Top Goalscorer Carre J.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacevic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ozzi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Logan Lightning 48 / 100
Ipswich 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Logan Lightning Ipswich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Logan Lightning Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Logan Lightning found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Ipswich let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Logan Lightning stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Logan Lightning VS Ipswich
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Logan Lightning

(Home)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

Ipswich

(Away)
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)