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Logan Lightning vs Redlands

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Cornubia Park, Logan
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Oberli B.
15' Event
Lumer T.
33' Event
Patton B.

AI Match Summary

Logan Lightning in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Logan Lightning.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Logan Lightning
35%
Draws
30%
Redlands
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Logan Lightning lately — more wins on the board than Redlands.
  • Win probability leans Logan Lightning's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 10%
Redlands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Logan Lightning Redlands
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Logan Lightning
2:0
Jun 30, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Redlands
5:1
Jul 19, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Redlands
3:1
Jun 28, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Logan Lightning
0:7
Sep 5, 2021 NPL Queensland
Logan Lightning vs Redlands
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Logan Lightning Compare

Top Goalscorer Patton B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oberli B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Redlands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Logan Lightning 40 / 100
Redlands 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Logan Lightning Redlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Logan Lightning's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Logan Lightning remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Logan Lightning VS Redlands
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Logan Lightning

(Home)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2
Ipswich
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Redlands

(Away)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Brisbane Strikers
3 : 0
Redlands
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)