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Logan Lightning vs Souths - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2019 Cornubia Park, Logan
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AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2019 game between Logan Lightning and Souths finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Logan Lightning.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Logan Lightning
15%
Draws
0%
Souths
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Logan Lightning

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Logan Lightning come out ahead of Souths on wins alone.
  • Logan Lightning are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Logan Lightning have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 13%
Souths Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Logan Lightning Souths
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.89 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Souths
2:0
Mar 14, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Souths vs Logan Lightning
0:2
Jul 27, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Souths
2:0
Mar 9, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Souths vs Logan Lightning
1:5
Jul 22, 2017 Brisbane Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Souths
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Logan Lightning 57 / 100
Souths 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Logan Lightning Souths

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Logan Lightning Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Souths has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Souths registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Logan Lightning scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Logan Lightning VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Logan Lightning

(Home)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2
Ipswich
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Souths

(Away)
25 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Southside Eagles
19 Sept
Sunshine Coast
2 : 1
Souths
11 Sept
Souths
3 : 4
Western Pride
07 Sept
Ipswich Knights
3 : 1
Souths
04 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Mitchelton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 18 13 2 3 52:23 41
2 Capalaba FC 18 12 2 4 48:26 38
3 Logan Lightning 18 12 1 5 52:26 37
4 Rochedale 18 9 3 6 49:37 30
5 Mitchelton 18 9 3 6 44:32 30
6 Ipswich Knights 18 8 4 6 35:31 28
7 Wynnum Wolves 18 5 4 9 32:44 19
8 Souths 18 4 1 13 29:59 13
9 Southside Eagles 18 3 3 12 22:46 12
10 Holland Park Hawks 18 3 1 14 31:70 10
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2019 (Play Offs)