Sport Picks

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Logrono W vs Madrid CFF W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Instalaciones de La Isla, Logroño
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Leitner A.
Assist: Morcillo J.
41'
Sanchez N.
46'
Sub
Garcia C. In: Olofsson F.
Out: Garcia C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women 2025/2026 game between Logrono W and Madrid CFF W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Logrono W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Logrono W
15%
Draws
39%
Madrid CFF W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Logrono W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Madrid CFF W come out ahead of Logrono W on wins alone.
  • Logrono W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga F Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Logrono W Clean Sheet 20%
Madrid CFF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Logrono W Madrid CFF W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 9 2
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga F Women
Logrono W vs Madrid CFF W
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Logrono W
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Madrid CFF W vs Logrono W
4:0
Dec 21, 2024 Copa de la Reina Women
Logrono W vs Madrid CFF W
2:4
Mar 7, 2021 Liga F Women
Logrono W vs Madrid CFF W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Logrono W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leitner A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mawete F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Madrid CFF W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Logrono W 85 / 100
Madrid CFF W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Logrono W Madrid CFF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Madrid CFF W conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Logrono W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Madrid CFF W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Logrono W VS Madrid CFF W
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Logrono W

(Home)
31 Jul
Logrono W
1 : 1
Real Sociedad W
31 May
Eibar W
2 : 1
Logrono W
26 May
Logrono W
0 : 2
Athletic Bilbao W
10 May
Levante W
1 : 4
Logrono W
02 May
Logrono W
3 : 0
Madrid CFF W
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Madrid CFF W

(Away)
01 Aug
Real Madrid W
2 : 0
Madrid CFF W
31 May
Madrid CFF W
0 : 4
Barcelona W
26 May
Granada CF W
3 : 4
Madrid CFF W
11 May
Madrid CFF W
2 : 0
Sevilla W
02 May
Logrono W
3 : 0
Madrid CFF W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 30 29 0 1 130:9 87
2 Real Madrid W 30 23 3 4 65:18 72
3 Real Sociedad W 30 20 6 4 61:27 66
4 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 30 14 12 4 49:22 54
5 Atl. Madrid W 30 14 9 7 63:39 51
6 Granada CF W 30 13 6 11 36:42 45
7 Athletic Bilbao W 30 12 8 10 35:44 44
8 Sevilla W 30 12 5 13 33:46 41
9 Badalona W 30 10 9 11 28:46 39
10 Madrid CFF W 30 11 4 15 41:59 37
11 Espanyol W 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
12 Dep. A Coruna W 30 8 7 15 34:54 31
13 Eibar W 30 8 4 18 18:47 28
14 Logrono W 30 4 9 17 29:54 21
15 Alhama W 30 3 5 22 23:78 14
16 Levante W 30 2 3 25 18:62 9
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)