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Loja vs Adra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
Loja Logo

Loja

2 - 2
FT
Adra Logo

Adra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Loja
15%
Draws
0%
Adra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Loja lately — more wins on the board than Adra.
  • Model gives Loja a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Loja have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Loja Clean Sheet 20%
Adra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loja Adra
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 28
Goals Scored 1.09 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.41 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Loja
0:3
Nov 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Adra
5:1
Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Loja
0:1
Dec 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Adra
2:2
Apr 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Adra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loja 85 / 100
Adra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loja Adra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Adra's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Loja found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Loja VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loja

(Home)
22 Aug
Loja
1 : 4
Huetor Tajar
09 Sept
Loja
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
18 Aug
Loja
2 : 0
Antequera
03 Aug
Loja
0 : 1
Torremolinos
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Loja
Page 1 of 7

Adra

(Away)
14 May
Ciudad de Vicar
3 : 0
Adra
07 May
Adra
0 : 3
Alhaurin
30 Apr
Motril
3 : 0
Adra
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
16 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Adra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)