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Loja vs Almeria B

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021
Loja Logo

Loja

0 - 1
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Almeria B Logo

Almeria B

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 game between Loja and Almeria B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almeria B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Loja
15%
Draws
51%
Almeria B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almeria B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Almeria B haven't matched Loja's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Loja's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Almeria B here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Loja Clean Sheet 20%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loja Almeria B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Almeria B
0:1
Nov 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Loja
4:0
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Almeria B
1:1
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Loja
4:0
Apr 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Loja
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loja 42 / 100
Almeria B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loja Almeria B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almeria B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Difficult form: Almeria B registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Loja's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Almeria B
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Loja

(Home)
22 Aug
Loja
1 : 4
Huetor Tajar
09 Sept
Loja
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
18 Aug
Loja
2 : 0
Antequera
03 Aug
Loja
0 : 1
Torremolinos
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Loja
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Almeria B

(Away)
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Almeria B
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
03 May
Aguilas FC
2 : 0
Almeria B
26 Apr
Almeria B
3 : 4
Deportiva Minera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 20 10 6 4 35:12 36
2 Almeria B 20 9 6 5 32:25 33
3 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 20 9 6 5 35:25 33
4 CD Torreperogil 20 7 7 6 16:17 28
5 Huetor Tajar 20 6 10 4 28:25 28
6 Huetor Vega 20 6 7 7 25:27 25
7 Jaen 20 7 4 9 24:27 25
8 CP Almeria 20 6 5 9 15:25 23
9 Loja 20 6 3 11 15:32 21
10 Atletico de Porcuna 20 3 12 5 22:23 21
11 Maracena 20 4 8 8 19:28 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez 18 11 4 3 22:15 37
2 Antequera 18 8 6 4 29:11 30
3 El Palo 18 7 7 4 18:17 28
4 Torremolinos 18 7 7 4 23:18 28
5 Malaga B 18 8 4 6 28:19 28
6 CD Estepona 18 5 5 8 18:25 20
7 Alhaurin 18 5 5 8 17:27 20
8 Motril 18 6 2 10 21:26 20
9 Melilla CD 18 4 5 9 17:29 17
10 CD Alhaurino 18 4 5 9 22:28 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)