Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loja vs Los Villares

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Loja in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Loja
15%
Draws
59%
Los Villares
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Los Villares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Los Villares haven't matched Loja's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Loja Clean Sheet 20%
Los Villares Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loja Los Villares
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Los Villares
0:0
Aug 30, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Loja
0:0
Feb 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Los Villares
3:0
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Loja
1:2
Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Loja
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loja 32 / 100
Los Villares 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loja Los Villares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Los Villares conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Loja's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Recent resilience: Loja stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loja VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loja

(Home)
22 Aug
Loja
1 : 4
Huetor Tajar
09 Sept
Loja
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
18 Aug
Loja
2 : 0
Antequera
03 Aug
Loja
0 : 1
Torremolinos
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Loja
Page 1 of 8

Los Villares

(Away)
15 May
Antequera
5 : 0
Los Villares
08 May
Los Villares
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Comarca Del Marmol
2 : 3
Los Villares
23 Apr
Los Villares
3 : 0
River Melilla
17 Apr
Martos
3 : 2
Los Villares
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)