Sport Picks
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
Match Events
12'
12'
Godoy L.
Assist: Eto'o J.
26'
26'
Sub
Ivanov I. In: Lamy J.
Out: Ivanov I.
47'
47'
Ali E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
15%
69%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to CSKA Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Plovdiv.
- Model gives CSKA Sofia a 69% chance of winning this.
- CSKA Sofia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor CSKA Sofia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 13%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lok. Plovdiv | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
1:2
Dec 3, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lok. Plovdiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Ryan L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
CSKA Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Godoy L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lok. Plovdiv 10 / 100
CSKA Sofia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lok. Plovdiv CSKA Sofia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CSKA Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Lok. Plovdiv found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Lok. Plovdiv has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lok. Plovdiv VS CSKA Sofia
0.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lok. Plovdiv
(Home) 13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1 Arda
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2 Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1 Arda
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2 Dunav Ruse
26 Jul
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
04 Jul
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0 Arda
Page 1 of 3
CSKA Sofia
(Away) 16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2 CSKA Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1 Arda
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1 Cherno More
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2 CSKA Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
20 Aug
OFI Crete
3 : 0 CSKA Sofia
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2
