Sport Picks
Lok. Plovdiv vs Montana
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 Hristo Bonev, Plovdiv 
Match Events
26'
26'
Perea J.
34'
34'
Perea J.
40'
40'
Ali E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Lok. Plovdiv advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Lok. Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
- Lok. Plovdiv are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Lok. Plovdiv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lok. Plovdiv, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%
Montana Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lok. Plovdiv | Montana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 14, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Lok. Plovdiv vs Montana
4:0
Nov 28, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Montana
0:0
Jul 28, 2025 efbet League
Montana vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:1
Apr 15, 2021 efbet League
Montana vs Lok. Plovdiv
0:1
Oct 30, 2020 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Montana
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lok. Plovdiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Perea J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ali E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Montana Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lok. Plovdiv 95 / 100
Montana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lok. Plovdiv Montana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lok. Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Montana conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Montana's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Lok. Plovdiv scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lok. Plovdiv VS Montana
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lok. Plovdiv
(Home) 20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1 Arda
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1 Arda
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2 Dunav Ruse
26 Jul
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 3
Montana
(Away) 27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0 Montana
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5 Hebar
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0 Montana
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4 Vihren
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0 Montana
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0 Montana
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0 Montana
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0 Montana
22 Aug
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1 Montana
11 Aug
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 2 Montana
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2
