Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lok. Sofia vs Beroe

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Lok. Sofia Logo

Lok. Sofia

1 - 1
FT
Beroe Logo

Beroe

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Alarcon F.
27'
Costantini F.
35'
Sub
Yovkov S. In: Varela F.
Out: Yovkov S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Lok. Sofia and Beroe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lok. Sofia
35%
Draws
49%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beroe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Sofia haven't matched Beroe's recent run of results.
  • Beroe are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 13%
Beroe Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Sofia Beroe
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.42 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Beroe
1:1
Apr 9, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Beroe
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 efbet League
Beroe vs Lok. Sofia
1:3
Nov 30, 2024 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Beroe
2:1
Jul 29, 2024 efbet League
Beroe vs Lok. Sofia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bidounga R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Beroe Compare

Top Goalscorer Alarcon F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Sofia 22 / 100
Beroe 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Sofia Beroe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beroe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Beroe has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lok. Sofia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Sofia VS Beroe
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Sofia

(Home)
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1
Lok. Sofia
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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Beroe

(Away)
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0
Montana
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
25 Aug
Beroe
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
14 Aug
Fratria
2 : 0
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Botev Vratsa 37 13 14 10 36:32 53
10 Lok. Sofia 37 11 14 12 51:48 47
11 Slavia Sofia 37 12 10 15 42:44 46
12 Spartak Varna 37 8 13 16 35:57 37
13 Septemvri Sofia 37 9 9 19 32:64 36
14 Beroe 37 7 13 17 28:52 34
15 Dobrudzha 37 8 7 22 28:52 31
16 Montana 37 4 11 22 21:55 23
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Main)